According to American military analysts, such military clashes could begin no later than 2040. At the same time, as the developers of the document believe, the conflicting parties will use weather control technologies against each other, which can intensify natural disasters such as droughts and floods.
Experts believe that climate change will also lead to internal conflicts in developing countries. The negative consequences of such changes will be felt most strongly by 11 countries, including China, India and Pakistan, which have nuclear weapons, Ekho Moskvy radio reported. In addition, experts have concluded that food insecurity, water shortages and the effects of natural disasters, combined with high population growth, are fueling conflicts and forcing the displacement of people into vulnerable areas.
IEP research is based on analysis of data from the UN and other international organizations on regions and countries most susceptible to environmental threats. According to the organization, residents of 30 countries located in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa are most at risk. The total population of these countries is 1.26 billion people.
The United Nations warns in a 2019 report that the world’s land and water resources are being exploited on an unprecedented scale and climate change is affecting crops, which could impact future food security, The New York Times reports. It will be difficult to counter such a threat, since half a billion people will already be living in barren areas that were fertile just yesterday. Good soil will shrink 10-100 times faster than before.
Yield growth for wheat, corn and other crops has declined in many countries due to extreme warming, severe weather and drought. According to some estimates, global yields could decline by 30% by 2050, with 60% of the total wheat growing area becoming unusable. Rice, wheat and maize yields currently provide 75% of the population’s calorie intake.